Theory of Change

What is a Theory of Change?

A theory of change is an intentional and strategic approach to defining a group’s intended impact. It does not look to address every step the group must take to codify its work and become high performing. Rather, a theory of change creates a high-level framework that is used to test hypotheses and assumptions about what actions, interventions, and approaches will best produce desired outcomes. A theory of change acts as an accelerator and creates a structure that allows a group to systematically ask questions and use data to solidify its approach into a codified methodology for achieving outcomes and long-term impact. In doing so, it helps a group focus its decision-making and prioritize its resources. In addition, a theory of change is a framework that helps a group achieve and maintain sustainability while staying focused on its long-term impact.

How Was This Theory of Change Created?

Over 200 individuals and organizations representing a cross section of our community came together to develop this theory of positive change. In 2020, six meetings were held to introduce this theory of change, invite feedback and improvements, and identify specific ideas and potential projects to translate this broad framework into actionable next steps. The meetings were open invitation, and everyone who participated was invited to share their priorities via a voting process, which informed the funding framework that accompanies the theory of change.

 

What is the Purpose of the Theory of Change?

For alcohol tax funding to effectively address the issues impacting Anchorage, we must address root causes and find new ways of working that engage more people, more deeply. The issues are connected and only by addressing them together will we make Anchorage safer and healthier for all. The Assembly and the Administration ultimately decides where and how to allocate alcohol tax funds. The theory of change reflects the work of hundreds of individuals and organizations and is intended to inform funding allocations.